Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.247334 0.286103 0.330336 0.384830 0.450561 0.527788 0.626129
2025-09-07 0.190516 0.241002 0.305304 0.394525 0.517219 0.683195 0.930307
2025-09-14 0.152805 0.205404 0.277692 0.386901 0.552444 0.802185 1.224317
2025-09-21 0.131041 0.184764 0.263206 0.390250 0.599274 0.945980 1.603388
2025-09-28 0.114352 0.167566 0.249201 0.389309 0.636541 1.082255 2.020742
2025-10-05 0.104101 0.157975 0.244453 0.401136 0.696719 1.274951 2.629067
2025-10-12 0.095261 0.149026 0.238828 0.409597 0.751971 1.474828 3.350920
2025-10-19 0.087735 0.141027 0.233274 0.416607 0.805567 1.688625 4.224503
2025-10-26 0.082162 0.135512 0.231067 0.429281 0.873972 1.960390 5.428189
2025-11-02 0.076249 0.128577 0.225117 0.433047 0.923405 2.204387 6.722522
2025-11-09 0.070720 0.121640 0.218117 0.433147 0.964182 2.441907 8.186256
2025-11-16 0.065553 0.114772 0.210286 0.429907 0.995860 2.667220 9.807284
2025-11-23 0.060467 0.107616 0.201174 0.422675 1.017034 2.876243 11.603078
2025-11-30 0.057577 0.104454 0.199938 0.433979 1.093329 3.306916 15.018788
2025-12-07 0.053356 0.098180 0.191279 0.425507 1.110346 3.539429 17.692000
2025-12-14 0.050527 0.094453 0.187692 0.429278 1.166208 3.952576 22.182605
2025-12-21 0.047629 0.090290 0.182612 0.428226 1.206885 4.330787 27.179366
2025-12-28 0.045949 0.088531 0.182792 0.441500 1.300332 5.004225 36.214304
2026-01-04 0.044153 0.086340 0.181681 0.451002 1.384536 5.699578 47.603579
2026-01-11 0.042398 0.084067 0.180092 0.458878 1.466277 6.451490 62.479778
2026-01-18 0.041107 0.082707 0.180571 0.473126 1.578971 7.480504 86.084250
2026-01-25 0.039396 0.080230 0.177957 0.477363 1.653299 8.354759 112.607519
2026-02-01 0.037619 0.077447 0.174246 0.477475 1.710939 9.184727 144.536703